Unwritten Rules of the Stock Market
- Just because something has gone up, does not mean it can't go higher.
- Just because something has gone down, does not mean it can't go lower.
- Stock trading in single/double digits does not make it cheap.
- Patience is the most important quality one can have as an investor.
- The second most important quality is knowing one's own psychology.
- The third most important quality an investor can have is conviction.
- Tips won't work for you.
- You can borrow ideas, but you can't borrow conviction.
- You will not make money on a stock that is not growing its earnings.
- Cash flow is the most important. Profits without cash flow are meaningless.
- Averaging up > averaging down.
- No one on this planet can guess the movement of the stock market. And certainly not the guy charging you money for it.
- The stock market is the closest thing humans can achieve to a Hive mind. Some elements are more powerful than others, but even they can't control all of it.
- The most important factor in a stock price is the earnings and their perception. The more consistent, predictable, and risk-free they are, the more market will reward it.
- The market hates uncertainty.
- Use leverage in the market with extreme caution.
- PE ratio in isolation is a meaningless metric to use.
- Look at the supply-side rather than the demand-side when analyzing a company.
- Companies with moats will always command higher valuations.
- Stay away from companies with corporate governance issues.
- Even great stocks can go down 70-80 %.
- Avoid companies with high debt, a couple of bad quarters can cause serious trouble.
- ROCE, ROE, and ROIC of a company usually increase with a companies performance.
- Capex is a great trigger for earnings and growth.
- There's no such thing as guaranteed returns in the market. Stay away from people making those promises.
- The goal of mutual fund employees is to keep their job secure, not to make you money.
- Even the best system will have long periods of drawdown. Conviction is key
- The study is important. No one becomes wealthy from tips (except the person giving them).
- Never fight the market. It can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
- You have biases like everyone else. Know what they are so they don't impede in investing.
- Plan the trade, and then trade the plan.
- Warren Buffet quotes are oversimplified platitudes. You want to learn from the man, study everything about him.
- Find out what your circle of competence is, and stick to it.
- Avoid hot sectors/stocks.
- 90-95% of turnaround stories fail.
- If the auditor/CEO/CFO of a company resigns suddenly, it's best to stay away for the time being.
- Nothing will erode wealth faster than corporate governance issues.
- You can learn a lot about the company from its credit report.
- Sell your losers, and keep your winners. Not the other way around.
- Don't catch falling knives.
- Averaging up your winner stocks.
- Keep track of the business, not stock price.
- Volatility in the market is certain. Use it to your advantage.
- Time in the market > timing the market.
- Twitter can be a great resource for learning.
- Always date, never marry a stock.
- A stock doesn't know you entered it, or you have exited and It doesn't care.
- The stock market is not gambling, your approach is.
- Capital Allocation is important for real gains.
- Never sell your winners only because they have gone up a lot.
- Ignore news and stock channels. 95 % is pure noise that will weaken your conviction.
- Pay attention to promoter buybacks. They know more than you.
- Read old con-calls and annual reports to get an idea about how many promises promoters were able to keep.
- Be open to changing your mind when presented with evidence that you are wrong.
- Be prepared to go years without returns. The market isn't linear.